1
00:00:05,390 --> 00:00:03,710
so the big report is finally here the

2
00:00:07,789 --> 00:00:05,400
preliminary assessment of the

3
00:00:09,110 --> 00:00:07,799
unidentified aerial phenomenon Office of

4
00:00:11,030 --> 00:00:09,120
the Director of National Intelligence

5
00:00:14,390 --> 00:00:11,040
unclassified report

6
00:00:15,650 --> 00:00:14,400
25th June 2021. I've looked at the

7
00:00:17,390 --> 00:00:15,660
report I've gone through it a couple of

8
00:00:20,090 --> 00:00:17,400
times but I want to what I want to do

9
00:00:23,269 --> 00:00:20,100
now is go through it again and kind of

10
00:00:25,609 --> 00:00:23,279
give my take on it now long story short

11
00:00:27,170 --> 00:00:25,619
I am fairly happy with the report I

12
00:00:29,509 --> 00:00:27,180
think it kind of more or less says what

13
00:00:30,769 --> 00:00:29,519
I've been saying uh for a long time that

14
00:00:32,749 --> 00:00:30,779
there's a bunch of different things we

15
00:00:33,770 --> 00:00:32,759
don't have enough information there's

16
00:00:35,870 --> 00:00:33,780
always going to be things that are

17
00:00:38,030 --> 00:00:35,880
unidentified there are things like birds

18
00:00:39,310 --> 00:00:38,040
and balloons that are going to show up

19
00:00:41,750 --> 00:00:39,320
on sensors

20
00:00:43,310 --> 00:00:41,760
and we should

21
00:00:44,709 --> 00:00:43,320
um we should try to figure out what

22
00:00:47,810 --> 00:00:44,719
these things are

23
00:00:50,630 --> 00:00:47,820
and oh no evidence of aliens no great

24
00:00:52,910 --> 00:00:50,640
evidence of amazing technology but not

25
00:00:54,410 --> 00:00:52,920
everyone agrees with that assessment so

26
00:00:57,770 --> 00:00:54,420
what I want to do is go through the

27
00:00:59,389 --> 00:00:57,780
report and try to explain uh what I see

28
00:01:01,430 --> 00:00:59,399
in the report and what justifies that

29
00:01:02,630 --> 00:01:01,440
assessment okay

30
00:01:06,590 --> 00:01:02,640
so

31
00:01:08,450 --> 00:01:06,600
page two scope and assumptions uh this

32
00:01:11,090 --> 00:01:08,460
basically tells us like who does the

33
00:01:12,770 --> 00:01:11,100
report and uh where they got all the

34
00:01:15,050 --> 00:01:12,780
information from the only important

35
00:01:17,570 --> 00:01:15,060
thing on this page really is this

36
00:01:19,670 --> 00:01:17,580
assumption at the end it says various

37
00:01:22,130 --> 00:01:19,680
forms of sensors that register UAP

38
00:01:24,170 --> 00:01:22,140
generally operate correctly and capture

39
00:01:27,050 --> 00:01:24,180
enough real data to allow initial

40
00:01:29,810 --> 00:01:27,060
assessments but some UAP may be

41
00:01:31,730 --> 00:01:29,820
attributable to sensor anomalies

42
00:01:34,730 --> 00:01:31,740
basically that means that most of the

43
00:01:38,749 --> 00:01:34,740
time the radar works and the atflier

44
00:01:41,870 --> 00:01:38,759
system works but sometimes it does not

45
00:01:46,249 --> 00:01:41,880
and uh when it does not that may create

46
00:01:48,649 --> 00:01:46,259
a report of a UAP

47
00:01:49,969 --> 00:01:48,659
this page page three the executive

48
00:01:51,770 --> 00:01:49,979
summary now this is kind of the

49
00:01:54,410 --> 00:01:51,780
important page it has all the most

50
00:01:57,050 --> 00:01:54,420
important information and conclusions

51
00:01:58,609 --> 00:01:57,060
and some of the latest stuff even though

52
00:02:00,709 --> 00:01:58,619
it should be more detailed actually

53
00:02:03,170 --> 00:02:00,719
amidst some of the stuff that was listed

54
00:02:06,830 --> 00:02:03,180
here so you really need to refer to this

55
00:02:08,630 --> 00:02:06,840
page whenever you um

56
00:02:10,669 --> 00:02:08,640
whenever you look at something that

57
00:02:13,010 --> 00:02:10,679
comes later in the report okay executive

58
00:02:15,229 --> 00:02:13,020
summary the limited amount of high

59
00:02:17,390 --> 00:02:15,239
quality reporting on unidentified aerial

60
00:02:19,430 --> 00:02:17,400
phenomena hampers our ability to draw

61
00:02:22,309 --> 00:02:19,440
firm conclusions about the nature or

62
00:02:23,330 --> 00:02:22,319
intent of UAP so they're basically

63
00:02:26,449 --> 00:02:23,340
saying they don't have enough

64
00:02:30,170 --> 00:02:26,459
information to know what the nature of

65
00:02:31,550 --> 00:02:30,180
the problem is or if the UAP means

66
00:02:35,449 --> 00:02:31,560
something I'm not sure what that really

67
00:02:38,509 --> 00:02:35,459
means like aliens meaning something

68
00:02:41,089 --> 00:02:38,519
okay the UAP task force considered a

69
00:02:42,949 --> 00:02:41,099
range of information on UAP described in

70
00:02:45,350 --> 00:02:42,959
U.S military and intelligence Community

71
00:02:48,050 --> 00:02:45,360
reporting but because the reporting

72
00:02:49,729 --> 00:02:48,060
lacks sufficient specificity ultimately

73
00:02:51,410 --> 00:02:49,739
recognize that a unique tailored

74
00:02:53,390 --> 00:02:51,420
reporting process was required to

75
00:02:55,250 --> 00:02:53,400
provide sufficient data for analysis of

76
00:02:58,250 --> 00:02:55,260
UAP events

77
00:03:00,250 --> 00:02:58,260
as a result the uaptf concentrated its

78
00:03:03,710 --> 00:03:00,260
review on reports that occurred between

79
00:03:06,110 --> 00:03:03,720
2004 and 2021 which is basically meaning

80
00:03:08,570 --> 00:03:06,120
they started with the Nimitz encounter

81
00:03:10,490 --> 00:03:08,580
and went up to the present day

82
00:03:12,229 --> 00:03:10,500
the majority of which are the result of

83
00:03:14,270 --> 00:03:12,239
this new tailored process to better

84
00:03:15,949 --> 00:03:14,280
capture UAP events through formalized

85
00:03:18,710 --> 00:03:15,959
reporting which is good that means that

86
00:03:20,330 --> 00:03:18,720
our the majority of the reports here are

87
00:03:23,509 --> 00:03:20,340
actually quite high quality where

88
00:03:25,970 --> 00:03:23,519
they've standardized how the reports

89
00:03:29,330 --> 00:03:25,980
um were taken

90
00:03:31,970 --> 00:03:29,340
now this is an interesting point most of

91
00:03:34,309 --> 00:03:31,980
the UAP reported probably do represent

92
00:03:36,949 --> 00:03:34,319
physical objects given that a majority

93
00:03:39,410 --> 00:03:36,959
of UAP were registered across multiple

94
00:03:42,530 --> 00:03:39,420
sensors to include radar infrared

95
00:03:44,809 --> 00:03:42,540
Electro Optical weapon Seekers and

96
00:03:48,170 --> 00:03:44,819
visual observations

97
00:03:52,369 --> 00:03:48,180
now this most of the UOB reported

98
00:03:55,070 --> 00:03:52,379
actually is 80. it's 80 out of 144 which

99
00:03:55,990 --> 00:03:55,080
is 56 percent which is a bit more than

100
00:03:59,570 --> 00:03:56,000
half

101
00:04:02,149 --> 00:03:59,580
so I think saying most of is perhaps a

102
00:04:05,229 --> 00:04:02,159
bit of an exaggeration because that

103
00:04:07,490 --> 00:04:05,239
means that a bit less than half of them

104
00:04:09,710 --> 00:04:07,500
were not registered across multiple

105
00:04:11,509 --> 00:04:09,720
sensors they were just registered on One

106
00:04:12,670 --> 00:04:11,519
sensor or they were just an eyewitness

107
00:04:16,370 --> 00:04:12,680
account

108
00:04:18,949 --> 00:04:16,380
so we could perhaps say that more than

109
00:04:22,510 --> 00:04:18,959
half of the UAP report it probably do

110
00:04:24,290 --> 00:04:22,520
represent physical objects

111
00:04:26,210 --> 00:04:24,300
now

112
00:04:29,330 --> 00:04:26,220
again in the very important paragraph

113
00:04:32,689 --> 00:04:29,340
here in a limited number of incidents

114
00:04:35,390 --> 00:04:32,699
UAP reportedly appeared to exhibit

115
00:04:37,370 --> 00:04:35,400
unusual flight characteristics

116
00:04:40,370 --> 00:04:37,380
now that's you know

117
00:04:42,950 --> 00:04:40,380
the money uh there and that's you know

118
00:04:46,010 --> 00:04:42,960
are these alien spaceships or advanced

119
00:04:48,770 --> 00:04:46,020
technology from other countries

120
00:04:51,469 --> 00:04:48,780
they continue these observations could

121
00:04:54,050 --> 00:04:51,479
be the result of sensor errors spoofing

122
00:04:57,290 --> 00:04:54,060
or Observer misperceptions and require

123
00:04:59,629 --> 00:04:57,300
additional rigorous analysis

124
00:05:01,550 --> 00:04:59,639
so basically they're saying that uh

125
00:05:04,610 --> 00:05:01,560
there are situations that seem to be

126
00:05:07,370 --> 00:05:04,620
amazing but they can't tell if they

127
00:05:09,590 --> 00:05:07,380
actually are they can't tell if they are

128
00:05:12,290 --> 00:05:09,600
in fact uh sensor errors spoofing or

129
00:05:14,810 --> 00:05:12,300
Observer misperceptions now compare that

130
00:05:16,730 --> 00:05:14,820
to the previous paragraph where most of

131
00:05:19,070 --> 00:05:16,740
them actually represent physical objects

132
00:05:20,689 --> 00:05:19,080
because they were on multiple sensors I

133
00:05:22,550 --> 00:05:20,699
think it's pretty clear that these ones

134
00:05:24,710 --> 00:05:22,560
that they're talking about the UAP that

135
00:05:27,350 --> 00:05:24,720
reportedly appear to exhibit unusual

136
00:05:30,529 --> 00:05:27,360
flight characteristics are not included

137
00:05:32,350 --> 00:05:30,539
in those uh probably physical objects

138
00:05:35,390 --> 00:05:32,360
because if they were

139
00:05:37,610 --> 00:05:35,400
uh represented registered on multiple

140
00:05:40,070 --> 00:05:37,620
sensors that would prove pretty much

141
00:05:41,510 --> 00:05:40,080
without the shadow of a doubt that there

142
00:05:42,529 --> 00:05:41,520
were in fact

143
00:05:44,330 --> 00:05:42,539
um

144
00:05:45,650 --> 00:05:44,340
exhibiting unusual polite

145
00:05:47,810 --> 00:05:45,660
characteristics

146
00:05:50,029 --> 00:05:47,820
so it seems fairly likely that this

147
00:05:53,510 --> 00:05:50,039
paragraph refers to things that were

148
00:05:56,029 --> 00:05:53,520
essentially single sensor or single

149
00:05:58,730 --> 00:05:56,039
eyewitness account reports it's not

150
00:06:00,350 --> 00:05:58,740
entirely clear but it would seem to be

151
00:06:03,409 --> 00:06:00,360
that way for if you combine the

152
00:06:05,689 --> 00:06:03,419
information in these two paragraphs

153
00:06:07,790 --> 00:06:05,699
there are probably multiple types of UAP

154
00:06:09,170 --> 00:06:07,800
requiring different explanations based

155
00:06:10,969 --> 00:06:09,180
on the range of appearances and

156
00:06:12,469 --> 00:06:10,979
behaviors described in the available

157
00:06:15,830 --> 00:06:12,479
reporting

158
00:06:17,330 --> 00:06:15,840
well yes yes this is this is true and

159
00:06:19,610 --> 00:06:17,340
this is something I've been saying for

160
00:06:21,529 --> 00:06:19,620
months if not years

161
00:06:24,110 --> 00:06:21,539
and that we don't just have one thing we

162
00:06:25,909 --> 00:06:24,120
don't just have uaps what are they we

163
00:06:27,050 --> 00:06:25,919
have here's the UOB report here's a

164
00:06:28,610 --> 00:06:27,060
different one here's another one here's

165
00:06:31,189 --> 00:06:28,620
another one there could be all kinds of

166
00:06:33,710 --> 00:06:31,199
different explanations and they've

167
00:06:36,110 --> 00:06:33,720
categorized them into four five five

168
00:06:38,749 --> 00:06:36,120
broad categories uh five potential

169
00:06:41,990 --> 00:06:38,759
explanatory categories Airborne clutter

170
00:06:44,990 --> 00:06:42,000
natural atmospheric phenomena U.S

171
00:06:50,570 --> 00:06:45,000
development programs foreign adversary

172
00:06:56,510 --> 00:06:54,170
UAP clearly pose a safety of light issue

173
00:06:58,490 --> 00:06:56,520
and may pose a challenge to U.S national

174
00:06:59,930 --> 00:06:58,500
security and there's obviously something

175
00:07:01,969 --> 00:06:59,940
that's very important and hence we need

176
00:07:03,890 --> 00:07:01,979
to look into what this UAP actually are

177
00:07:06,469 --> 00:07:03,900
these various different UAP

178
00:07:08,689 --> 00:07:06,479
safety concerns primarily Center on

179
00:07:11,390 --> 00:07:08,699
aviators contending with an increasingly

180
00:07:13,790 --> 00:07:11,400
cluttered air domain which really is the

181
00:07:15,969 --> 00:07:13,800
first of the the five categories the

182
00:07:18,170 --> 00:07:15,979
Airborne clutter

183
00:07:19,969 --> 00:07:18,180
uaps would also represent a national

184
00:07:22,129 --> 00:07:19,979
security challenge if they are foreign

185
00:07:23,689 --> 00:07:22,139
adversary collection platforms there's a

186
00:07:26,809 --> 00:07:23,699
spy things I mean they're really talking

187
00:07:29,089 --> 00:07:26,819
about spy drones there for example or

188
00:07:30,529 --> 00:07:29,099
balloons or provide evidence a potential

189
00:07:32,150 --> 00:07:30,539
adversary has developed either a

190
00:07:34,249 --> 00:07:32,160
breakthrough or disruptive technology

191
00:07:36,050 --> 00:07:34,259
let's see if they do actually in fact

192
00:07:38,689 --> 00:07:36,060
demonstrate

193
00:07:40,790 --> 00:07:38,699
unusual flight characteristics which we

194
00:07:43,850 --> 00:07:40,800
can't say for sure because we don't have

195
00:07:48,409 --> 00:07:46,610
and then they talk about consolidation

196
00:07:50,450 --> 00:07:48,419
of reports across the government

197
00:07:52,850 --> 00:07:50,460
standardized reporting et cetera Warrior

198
00:07:54,710 --> 00:07:52,860
would be better and some of these steps

199
00:07:56,990 --> 00:07:54,720
are resource intensive and would require

200
00:07:59,150 --> 00:07:57,000
additional investment so that's just a

201
00:08:01,249 --> 00:07:59,160
call for more money for the UAP test

202
00:08:03,129 --> 00:08:01,259
course which may well be justified but

203
00:08:07,070 --> 00:08:03,139
that's what that paragraph is about

204
00:08:10,670 --> 00:08:07,080
needs more data might need more money

205
00:08:16,909 --> 00:08:13,270
available reporting largely inconclusive

206
00:08:19,309 --> 00:08:16,919
limited data leaves most UAP unexplained

207
00:08:20,770 --> 00:08:19,319
there's the thing uh we don't know what

208
00:08:23,330 --> 00:08:20,780
we're looking at we've got

209
00:08:25,309 --> 00:08:23,340
inconsistent data we've got limited data

210
00:08:28,610 --> 00:08:25,319
and this is a problem

211
00:08:31,969 --> 00:08:28,620
there's no standard reporting methods

212
00:08:34,370 --> 00:08:31,979
lots of anecdotes uh what they focused

213
00:08:36,829 --> 00:08:34,380
on the more recent ones the majority

214
00:08:38,329 --> 00:08:36,839
coming in the last two years which is

215
00:08:39,769 --> 00:08:38,339
great because you know again these are

216
00:08:41,709 --> 00:08:39,779
better quality ones they're not simply

217
00:08:44,029 --> 00:08:41,719
the ones that are

218
00:08:45,230 --> 00:08:44,039
limited by the previous reporting

219
00:08:47,449 --> 00:08:45,240
process

220
00:08:49,310 --> 00:08:47,459
we were able to identify one reported

221
00:08:51,769 --> 00:08:49,320
UAP with high confidence well that's

222
00:08:54,410 --> 00:08:51,779
rather a low number of uh of solved

223
00:08:56,930 --> 00:08:54,420
cases but again you know the reason that

224
00:08:58,970 --> 00:08:56,940
uaps are uaps is that we don't have

225
00:09:00,470 --> 00:08:58,980
enough information and it's quite often

226
00:09:03,170 --> 00:09:00,480
difficult to get more information so

227
00:09:05,050 --> 00:09:03,180
it's not surprising that if something is

228
00:09:07,670 --> 00:09:05,060
unidentified once it stays unidentified

229
00:09:10,070 --> 00:09:07,680
the the videos that I've looked at I've

230
00:09:11,449 --> 00:09:10,080
not identified what the the things are

231
00:09:13,009 --> 00:09:11,459
I've just identified various

232
00:09:15,230 --> 00:09:13,019
characteristics of them that aren't

233
00:09:17,990 --> 00:09:15,240
exactly what people say the gimbal not

234
00:09:19,970 --> 00:09:18,000
actually rotating the go fast video not

235
00:09:21,410 --> 00:09:19,980
actually going fast the triangle not

236
00:09:22,430 --> 00:09:21,420
actually being a triangle that type of

237
00:09:23,690 --> 00:09:22,440
thing but it doesn't mean they've

238
00:09:25,430 --> 00:09:23,700
identified them so they're still

239
00:09:27,290 --> 00:09:25,440
unidentified

240
00:09:29,990 --> 00:09:27,300
okay in one case we identified the

241
00:09:32,210 --> 00:09:30,000
object as a large deflating balloon

242
00:09:34,009 --> 00:09:32,220
I don't know what that is uh it could be

243
00:09:36,710 --> 00:09:34,019
the go fast if that if it's like a

244
00:09:38,509 --> 00:09:36,720
slowly leaking balloon uh it will

245
00:09:39,769 --> 00:09:38,519
eventually achieve neutral buoyancy and

246
00:09:42,590 --> 00:09:39,779
that will mean it will stay at a certain

247
00:09:45,230 --> 00:09:42,600
altitude for a period of time just

248
00:09:48,410 --> 00:09:45,240
slowly drift down as it continues to

249
00:09:50,990 --> 00:09:48,420
leak so that could be

250
00:09:52,730 --> 00:09:51,000
uh one of the cases to go fast it could

251
00:09:53,990 --> 00:09:52,740
actually be the Omaha spear that was

252
00:09:55,310 --> 00:09:54,000
descending into the water but that

253
00:09:57,470 --> 00:09:55,320
doesn't really look like a balloon but

254
00:09:59,269 --> 00:09:57,480
uh it would be nice to know which case

255
00:10:02,170 --> 00:09:59,279
they were actually talking about

256
00:10:05,569 --> 00:10:02,180
the others remain unexplained

257
00:10:08,630 --> 00:10:05,579
144 reports originated from the U.S

258
00:10:10,790 --> 00:10:08,640
government sources of these 80 reports

259
00:10:13,670 --> 00:10:10,800
involved observations with multiple

260
00:10:17,449 --> 00:10:13,680
sensors so that's again 56 percent uh 80

261
00:10:22,069 --> 00:10:17,459
out of 144 which means that

262
00:10:24,110 --> 00:10:22,079
um is 64 of them uh do not 64 of them

263
00:10:28,610 --> 00:10:24,120
were in fact just observations from

264
00:10:31,550 --> 00:10:28,620
either one sensor or one eyewitness

265
00:10:33,530 --> 00:10:31,560
and most reports described UAP as

266
00:10:35,389 --> 00:10:33,540
objects that interrupted pre-planned

267
00:10:37,490 --> 00:10:35,399
training or other military activities

268
00:10:40,069 --> 00:10:37,500
that's kind of interesting

269
00:10:43,009 --> 00:10:40,079
all right so UAP collection challenges

270
00:10:45,710 --> 00:10:43,019
and they talk about the stigmas uh

271
00:10:47,750 --> 00:10:45,720
that's uh presumably during the last

272
00:10:49,310 --> 00:10:47,760
couple of years that that will be

273
00:10:50,750 --> 00:10:49,320
partially mitigated by having this

274
00:10:53,050 --> 00:10:50,760
standardized reporting and this

275
00:10:55,130 --> 00:10:53,060
encouraging of reporting and since the

276
00:10:57,230 --> 00:10:55,140
majority of the reports are in the last

277
00:10:59,329 --> 00:10:57,240
two years then the stigma should have

278
00:11:00,730 --> 00:10:59,339
less of effect on this particular data

279
00:11:03,949 --> 00:11:00,740
set

280
00:11:05,630 --> 00:11:03,959
uh so the sensors mounted on U.S

281
00:11:08,990 --> 00:11:05,640
military platforms are typically

282
00:11:10,970 --> 00:11:09,000
designed to fulfill specific missions as

283
00:11:14,509 --> 00:11:10,980
a result Those sensors are not generally

284
00:11:16,009 --> 00:11:14,519
suited for identifying UAP

285
00:11:17,930 --> 00:11:16,019
uh part of what they're talking about

286
00:11:19,550 --> 00:11:17,940
here might be the app Leo system which

287
00:11:22,610 --> 00:11:19,560
is this infrared camera system there's a

288
00:11:25,370 --> 00:11:22,620
lot of Navy planes and the atlas system

289
00:11:29,210 --> 00:11:25,380
is a targeting pod it is designed to

290
00:11:31,130 --> 00:11:29,220
Target things it's not designed for

291
00:11:33,470 --> 00:11:31,140
um looking at strange objects and

292
00:11:37,370 --> 00:11:33,480
figuring out what they are it's designed

293
00:11:39,650 --> 00:11:37,380
to get a a high contrast lock visual

294
00:11:42,050 --> 00:11:39,660
lock on an object so it can be tracked

295
00:11:45,230 --> 00:11:42,060
which doesn't mean it necessarily has

296
00:11:47,090 --> 00:11:45,240
the best visual uh look from a human's

297
00:11:50,030 --> 00:11:47,100
perspective it's designed for something

298
00:11:51,889 --> 00:11:50,040
that the uh that missiles can lock onto

299
00:11:53,870 --> 00:11:51,899
so you can the camera can lock onto it

300
00:11:55,910 --> 00:11:53,880
and then you tag it with the laser the

301
00:11:59,269 --> 00:11:55,920
laser locks onto it and then

302
00:12:01,009 --> 00:11:59,279
blows it up so designed for one use

303
00:12:02,750 --> 00:12:01,019
means that other uses such as

304
00:12:03,889 --> 00:12:02,760
identification might be a bit

305
00:12:05,810 --> 00:12:03,899
challenging

306
00:12:08,329 --> 00:12:05,820
and uh

307
00:12:10,490 --> 00:12:08,339
again this may be the case with with

308
00:12:13,670 --> 00:12:10,500
radar in that it is

309
00:12:15,769 --> 00:12:13,680
designed to identify a specific type of

310
00:12:17,750 --> 00:12:15,779
thing which would be enemy planes enemy

311
00:12:20,449 --> 00:12:17,760
missiles and if something is in odd

312
00:12:21,650 --> 00:12:20,459
shape like a balloon it might not be it

313
00:12:23,870 --> 00:12:21,660
might not even show up it might be

314
00:12:25,370 --> 00:12:23,880
filtered out or it might be very

315
00:12:27,590 --> 00:12:25,380
intermittent results or something like

316
00:12:32,389 --> 00:12:30,050
all right the next uh this is kind of a

317
00:12:33,650 --> 00:12:32,399
curiously wordy thing sensor Vantage

318
00:12:35,690 --> 00:12:33,660
points and the number of sensors

319
00:12:37,610 --> 00:12:35,700
concurrently observing an object plays

320
00:12:39,829 --> 00:12:37,620
substantial roles in distinguishing UAP

321
00:12:42,170 --> 00:12:39,839
from known objects and determining

322
00:12:45,290 --> 00:12:42,180
whether a UAP demonstrates breakthrough

323
00:12:47,210 --> 00:12:45,300
Aerospace capabilities now this again is

324
00:12:49,269 --> 00:12:47,220
something I've been saying a lot in the

325
00:12:52,069 --> 00:12:49,279
in slightly better words

326
00:12:54,050 --> 00:12:52,079
basically triangulation

327
00:12:56,030 --> 00:12:54,060
you either want to have two videos

328
00:12:58,129 --> 00:12:56,040
showing the same thing from different

329
00:12:59,990 --> 00:12:58,139
positions so you can you can you can

330
00:13:03,710 --> 00:13:00,000
figure out what's actually going on from

331
00:13:06,350 --> 00:13:03,720
3D or you can have a video and radar of

332
00:13:09,710 --> 00:13:06,360
the same thing now if both

333
00:13:11,569 --> 00:13:09,720
sensor sets show this amazing movement

334
00:13:13,250 --> 00:13:11,579
that means the amazing movement is

335
00:13:16,550 --> 00:13:13,260
almost certainly real

336
00:13:18,350 --> 00:13:16,560
so if we do not have this correct number

337
00:13:21,650 --> 00:13:18,360
of sensors observing these things that

338
00:13:23,170 --> 00:13:21,660
appear to move amazingly then we're not

339
00:13:26,389 --> 00:13:23,180
going to be able to determine if they do

340
00:13:29,269 --> 00:13:26,399
and I think again what's going on here

341
00:13:31,990 --> 00:13:29,279
is in the cases where things appear to

342
00:13:35,389 --> 00:13:32,000
move in an amazing manner

343
00:13:37,910 --> 00:13:35,399
unusual characteristics

344
00:13:39,590 --> 00:13:37,920
we only have one source of data because

345
00:13:41,870 --> 00:13:39,600
if we had more than one we would be able

346
00:13:45,110 --> 00:13:41,880
to definitively say that this was moving

347
00:13:47,509 --> 00:13:45,120
amazingly and like they say here if we

348
00:13:49,370 --> 00:13:47,519
don't then we wouldn't be able to

349
00:13:51,650 --> 00:13:49,380
and they distinguish between Optical

350
00:13:54,050 --> 00:13:51,660
sensors uh have the benefit of providing

351
00:13:56,210 --> 00:13:54,060
some insight into relative size shape

352
00:13:58,370 --> 00:13:56,220
and structure meaning you can just you

353
00:14:00,710 --> 00:13:58,380
can see the thing you get a picture of

354
00:14:02,269 --> 00:14:00,720
it uh like you you have these photos of

355
00:14:05,389 --> 00:14:02,279
things that look like balloons you know

356
00:14:07,189 --> 00:14:05,399
the Batman balloon and uh uh in the

357
00:14:10,250 --> 00:14:07,199
Nimitz encounter you have both TV mode

358
00:14:12,230 --> 00:14:10,260
and IR mode which means that you have

359
00:14:13,310 --> 00:14:12,240
you have a picture of it in invisible

360
00:14:14,810 --> 00:14:13,320
lighting you have a picture of it in

361
00:14:16,610 --> 00:14:14,820
infrared unfortunately both of them

362
00:14:17,750 --> 00:14:16,620
appear to be very out of focus so you

363
00:14:19,430 --> 00:14:17,760
can't really tell very much in that

364
00:14:22,009 --> 00:14:19,440
particular case

365
00:14:24,350 --> 00:14:22,019
uh radio frequency sensors provide more

366
00:14:26,870 --> 00:14:24,360
accurate velocity and range information

367
00:14:29,110 --> 00:14:26,880
because you can use radar this is what

368
00:14:31,790 --> 00:14:29,120
we're talking about radio mostly radar

369
00:14:33,829 --> 00:14:31,800
to measure how far something away is

370
00:14:35,930 --> 00:14:33,839
your time of flight of the radar signal

371
00:14:37,310 --> 00:14:35,940
and the Doppler effect tells you you

372
00:14:39,230 --> 00:14:37,320
know how it's moving and stuff like that

373
00:14:42,710 --> 00:14:39,240
and just basically the 3D positioning

374
00:14:49,670 --> 00:14:42,720
will allow you to track uh its velocity

375
00:14:54,350 --> 00:14:51,769
page five

376
00:14:57,050 --> 00:14:54,360
but some potential patterns do emerge

377
00:14:58,730 --> 00:14:57,060
this is a funny paragraph uh it says

378
00:15:00,350 --> 00:14:58,740
some potential patterns do emerge and

379
00:15:03,530 --> 00:15:00,360
then it basically debunks the entire

380
00:15:05,629 --> 00:15:03,540
thing it says uh although there was wide

381
00:15:07,610 --> 00:15:05,639
variability in the report and the data

382
00:15:11,150 --> 00:15:07,620
set is currently too limited to allow

383
00:15:13,129 --> 00:15:11,160
for details Trend or pattern analysis

384
00:15:16,189 --> 00:15:13,139
there was some clustering of UAP

385
00:15:18,290 --> 00:15:16,199
observations regarding shape size and

386
00:15:21,590 --> 00:15:18,300
particularly propulsion

387
00:15:25,189 --> 00:15:21,600
UAP sightings also tended to Cluster

388
00:15:28,189 --> 00:15:25,199
around U.S training and testing grounds

389
00:15:29,810 --> 00:15:28,199
but we assess that this meaning just the

390
00:15:32,449 --> 00:15:29,820
clustering around U.S training and

391
00:15:34,730 --> 00:15:32,459
testing grounds we assess that this may

392
00:15:36,650 --> 00:15:34,740
result from a collection bias as a

393
00:15:38,329 --> 00:15:36,660
result of focus attention greater

394
00:15:40,069 --> 00:15:38,339
numbers of latest generation sensors

395
00:15:43,009 --> 00:15:40,079
operating in those areas meaning those

396
00:15:46,069 --> 00:15:43,019
areas are better radar and night vision

397
00:15:47,930 --> 00:15:46,079
and whatnot uh unit expectations meaning

398
00:15:50,269 --> 00:15:47,940
there's lots of people on patrol looking

399
00:15:52,069 --> 00:15:50,279
for things and guidance to report

400
00:15:53,689 --> 00:15:52,079
Anonymous meaning if you see something

401
00:15:57,290 --> 00:15:53,699
say something

402
00:15:59,329 --> 00:15:57,300
so two things there there is the the

403
00:16:01,009 --> 00:15:59,339
clustering of size shape and

404
00:16:02,810 --> 00:16:01,019
particularly propulsion but they preface

405
00:16:06,410 --> 00:16:02,820
that by saying they didn't really have

406
00:16:08,150 --> 00:16:06,420
enough enough data points to make that

407
00:16:10,910 --> 00:16:08,160
that assessment

408
00:16:12,590 --> 00:16:10,920
and then this clustering around U.S

409
00:16:14,389 --> 00:16:12,600
training and testing ground now this

410
00:16:17,210 --> 00:16:14,399
also applies to another thing they don't

411
00:16:19,550 --> 00:16:17,220
mention here which is nuclear uh we have

412
00:16:21,889 --> 00:16:19,560
all these reports from years ago of UFO

413
00:16:25,009 --> 00:16:21,899
turning off nuclear missiles and UFOs

414
00:16:27,889 --> 00:16:25,019
clustering around nuclear sites but

415
00:16:29,629 --> 00:16:27,899
again this would get the same bias here

416
00:16:31,129 --> 00:16:29,639
this collection bias which is a real

417
00:16:33,470 --> 00:16:31,139
thing it's not just a made-up term here

418
00:16:35,030 --> 00:16:33,480
collection bias is where you don't

419
00:16:36,889 --> 00:16:35,040
collect all of the data you're just

420
00:16:39,949 --> 00:16:36,899
focusing on a subset of the data for

421
00:16:42,050 --> 00:16:39,959
some particular reason as a result of

422
00:16:44,509 --> 00:16:42,060
focused attention and greater numbers of

423
00:16:46,490 --> 00:16:44,519
of sensors around these areas and unit

424
00:16:49,509 --> 00:16:46,500
expectations and guidance you know the

425
00:16:51,949 --> 00:16:49,519
the guards around a nuclear site will be

426
00:16:53,389 --> 00:16:51,959
instructed to report things in the sky

427
00:16:54,949 --> 00:16:53,399
because you know obviously it's a

428
00:16:56,930 --> 00:16:54,959
security concern

429
00:16:59,569 --> 00:16:56,940
and the same thing with the with this

430
00:17:01,370 --> 00:16:59,579
here so anyway basically potential

431
00:17:04,130 --> 00:17:01,380
patterns do emerge but they don't mean

432
00:17:08,329 --> 00:17:06,350
a handful of UAP appear to demonstrate

433
00:17:12,230 --> 00:17:08,339
advanced technology

434
00:17:15,829 --> 00:17:12,240
in 18 incidents described in 21 reports

435
00:17:17,449 --> 00:17:15,839
which I'm guessing means that

436
00:17:19,309 --> 00:17:17,459
um

437
00:17:22,850 --> 00:17:19,319
what would that be three of the

438
00:17:24,529 --> 00:17:22,860
incidents had two people or perhaps just

439
00:17:26,809 --> 00:17:24,539
one of the incidents had four people

440
00:17:29,390 --> 00:17:26,819
because they could have had 18 incidents

441
00:17:32,270 --> 00:17:29,400
uh four reports on the 18th that would

442
00:17:34,789 --> 00:17:32,280
give you 21 total reports or W3 but

443
00:17:36,970 --> 00:17:34,799
anyway not very many additional people

444
00:17:39,590 --> 00:17:36,980
are required to go from 18 to 21.

445
00:17:41,570 --> 00:17:39,600
observers report unusual UAP movement

446
00:17:43,630 --> 00:17:41,580
patterns or flight characteristics now

447
00:17:46,310 --> 00:17:43,640
uh here we have observers report

448
00:17:49,090 --> 00:17:46,320
and that kind of implies to me that it's

449
00:17:53,150 --> 00:17:49,100
all eyewitness accounts and

450
00:17:55,610 --> 00:17:53,160
no actual radar could be

451
00:17:57,710 --> 00:17:55,620
observers of the radar but then don't

452
00:17:59,630 --> 00:17:57,720
they have the radar data wouldn't we be

453
00:18:00,409 --> 00:17:59,640
able to see the data so it seems here

454
00:18:02,570 --> 00:18:00,419
again

455
00:18:04,730 --> 00:18:02,580
we're getting a single Source not only

456
00:18:06,770 --> 00:18:04,740
that it's not even an instrument uh

457
00:18:09,289 --> 00:18:06,780
we're getting eyewitness accounts

458
00:18:11,390 --> 00:18:09,299
reporting unusual UOP movement patterns

459
00:18:13,430 --> 00:18:11,400
of flight characteristics and then they

460
00:18:15,110 --> 00:18:13,440
describe them some appear to remain

461
00:18:17,330 --> 00:18:15,120
stationary and wins move against the

462
00:18:19,070 --> 00:18:17,340
wind maneuver abruptly move a

463
00:18:21,350 --> 00:18:19,080
considerable Speed without discernible

464
00:18:22,909 --> 00:18:21,360
means of propulsion and in a small

465
00:18:25,310 --> 00:18:22,919
number of cases military aircraft

466
00:18:28,490 --> 00:18:25,320
systems process radio frequency energy

467
00:18:29,810 --> 00:18:28,500
associated with UAP sightings

468
00:18:31,370 --> 00:18:29,820
so that's basically where they measure

469
00:18:33,169 --> 00:18:31,380
the RF coming from something the RF

470
00:18:35,150 --> 00:18:33,179
signal like it's broadcasting things or

471
00:18:37,010 --> 00:18:35,160
what kind of radar is putting out or

472
00:18:40,909 --> 00:18:37,020
something like that but they process it

473
00:18:45,289 --> 00:18:43,310
the uaptf holds a small amount of data

474
00:18:48,590 --> 00:18:45,299
that appear to show UAP demonstrating

475
00:18:50,029 --> 00:18:48,600
acceleration or a degree of signature

476
00:18:52,310 --> 00:18:50,039
management

477
00:18:53,990 --> 00:18:52,320
uh additional rigorous analysis are

478
00:18:55,250 --> 00:18:54,000
necessary by multiple teams or groups of

479
00:18:57,770 --> 00:18:55,260
technical experts to determine the

480
00:18:59,810 --> 00:18:57,780
nature and validity of these data so

481
00:19:01,190 --> 00:18:59,820
that means that things appear to show

482
00:19:03,049 --> 00:19:01,200
something but they don't really know if

483
00:19:05,029 --> 00:19:03,059
they do so we should look to see if they

484
00:19:06,830 --> 00:19:05,039
actually do

485
00:19:08,510 --> 00:19:06,840
we are conducting further analysis to

486
00:19:10,909 --> 00:19:08,520
determine if breakthrough Technologies

487
00:19:13,549 --> 00:19:10,919
were demonstrated see now this is kind

488
00:19:14,510 --> 00:19:13,559
of like a key part of the report they

489
00:19:16,789 --> 00:19:14,520
don't know

490
00:19:18,470 --> 00:19:16,799
if break through Technologies were

491
00:19:20,150 --> 00:19:18,480
demonstrated

492
00:19:23,029 --> 00:19:20,160
and

493
00:19:26,270 --> 00:19:23,039
a lot of people who are supporting uh

494
00:19:28,430 --> 00:19:26,280
this investigation of uaps

495
00:19:30,830 --> 00:19:28,440
are essentially saying that breakthrough

496
00:19:32,150 --> 00:19:30,840
technologies have been demonstrated like

497
00:19:34,070 --> 00:19:32,160
they're saying there are things in the

498
00:19:36,250 --> 00:19:34,080
sky that are running rings around our

499
00:19:39,049 --> 00:19:36,260
Pilots yeah doing things that we cannot

500
00:19:41,330 --> 00:19:39,059
duplicate and either we've been

501
00:19:43,190 --> 00:19:41,340
leapfrogged by another power or there

502
00:19:46,310 --> 00:19:43,200
are aliens or something like that up

503
00:19:48,470 --> 00:19:46,320
there and they don't give you any other

504
00:19:50,870 --> 00:19:48,480
options but this report

505
00:19:53,630 --> 00:19:50,880
basically says they don't know

506
00:19:56,990 --> 00:19:53,640
it's a small amount of data that appears

507
00:20:00,289 --> 00:19:57,000
to show UAP demonstrating these things

508
00:20:01,909 --> 00:20:00,299
and rigorous analysis will be needed to

509
00:20:03,110 --> 00:20:01,919
determine the nature and validity of

510
00:20:05,570 --> 00:20:03,120
this data

511
00:20:07,310 --> 00:20:05,580
and further analysis is being conducted

512
00:20:11,390 --> 00:20:07,320
maybe in the next report we'll get more

513
00:20:19,549 --> 00:20:12,950
so next

514
00:20:23,510 --> 00:20:21,289
uh this is the you know again the big

515
00:20:24,649 --> 00:20:23,520
thing I I've said it over and over again

516
00:20:26,330 --> 00:20:24,659
that there's lots of different things

517
00:20:28,669 --> 00:20:26,340
going on here and you can't just say

518
00:20:30,230 --> 00:20:28,679
uaps another problem let's figure out

519
00:20:31,909 --> 00:20:30,240
what uaps are there's all kinds of

520
00:20:33,950 --> 00:20:31,919
different things there's drones there's

521
00:20:35,210 --> 00:20:33,960
there's balloons and birds there's all

522
00:20:37,070 --> 00:20:35,220
kinds of things

523
00:20:39,289 --> 00:20:37,080
uh let's see what they say the uip

524
00:20:41,810 --> 00:20:39,299
documented in this limited data set yeah

525
00:20:43,789 --> 00:20:41,820
it's only 144 things demonstrates an

526
00:20:45,409 --> 00:20:43,799
array of aerial behaviors even though

527
00:20:47,149 --> 00:20:45,419
we've only got 104 we've got all these

528
00:20:48,529 --> 00:20:47,159
different things reinforcing the

529
00:20:50,149 --> 00:20:48,539
possibility that there are multiple

530
00:20:52,610 --> 00:20:50,159
types of UAP requiring different

531
00:20:54,529 --> 00:20:52,620
explanations our analysis of the data

532
00:20:56,870 --> 00:20:54,539
supports the construct that if and when

533
00:20:58,669 --> 00:20:56,880
individual UAP incidents are resolved

534
00:21:00,230 --> 00:20:58,679
they will fall into one of five

535
00:21:02,270 --> 00:21:00,240
potential explanatory categories

536
00:21:04,190 --> 00:21:02,280
Airborne clutter and natural atmospheric

537
00:21:07,430 --> 00:21:04,200
phenomena USG or industry development

538
00:21:10,010 --> 00:21:07,440
programs foreign adversary systems and a

539
00:21:11,870 --> 00:21:10,020
catch all other bin

540
00:21:13,490 --> 00:21:11,880
with the exception of one instance where

541
00:21:16,130 --> 00:21:13,500
we determined with high confidence that

542
00:21:18,289 --> 00:21:16,140
the reported UAP was Airborne clutter

543
00:21:19,850 --> 00:21:18,299
specifically a deflated balloon we

544
00:21:22,010 --> 00:21:19,860
currently lack sufficient information in

545
00:21:23,990 --> 00:21:22,020
our data set to attribute incidents to

546
00:21:25,789 --> 00:21:24,000
specific explanations

547
00:21:28,250 --> 00:21:25,799
uh this basically means they don't have

548
00:21:30,590 --> 00:21:28,260
high confidence in any specific

549
00:21:32,390 --> 00:21:30,600
explanation and they do have it in one

550
00:21:35,570 --> 00:21:32,400
case but not in the other ones

551
00:21:38,330 --> 00:21:35,580
apparently which is kind of interesting

552
00:21:40,430 --> 00:21:38,340
okay so the the five categories they

553
00:21:41,510 --> 00:21:40,440
break them down uh the first one you

554
00:21:43,730 --> 00:21:41,520
know I think they're listing these

555
00:21:45,230 --> 00:21:43,740
essentially in order of probability like

556
00:21:47,270 --> 00:21:45,240
you know I like to do but the most

557
00:21:50,090 --> 00:21:47,280
likely thing first

558
00:21:52,970 --> 00:21:50,100
number one Airborne clutter these

559
00:21:55,850 --> 00:21:52,980
objects include Birds hmm

560
00:22:00,169 --> 00:21:55,860
balloons recreational unmanned aerial

561
00:22:02,510 --> 00:22:00,179
Vehicles UAV uh drones basically or

562
00:22:04,490 --> 00:22:02,520
Airborne debris like plastic bags that

563
00:22:06,770 --> 00:22:04,500
model a scene and affect an operator's

564
00:22:08,270 --> 00:22:06,780
ability to identify true targets such as

565
00:22:10,070 --> 00:22:08,280
enemy aircraft you know things like

566
00:22:12,049 --> 00:22:10,080
plastic bags sometimes get blown up in

567
00:22:15,110 --> 00:22:12,059
the air one of the things that people

568
00:22:18,710 --> 00:22:15,120
reported seeing was a

569
00:22:22,010 --> 00:22:18,720
Cube inside a beach ball Cube inside

570
00:22:23,630 --> 00:22:22,020
cytosphere which you know is actually

571
00:22:24,890 --> 00:22:23,640
something that exists as a radar

572
00:22:26,930 --> 00:22:24,900
reflector on boats and could

573
00:22:29,270 --> 00:22:26,940
theoretically like a plastic bag if the

574
00:22:30,409 --> 00:22:29,280
wind is sufficiently strong be blown up

575
00:22:31,909 --> 00:22:30,419
into the air

576
00:22:33,590 --> 00:22:31,919
so there's all these things Birds

577
00:22:37,250 --> 00:22:33,600
balloons recreational unmanned aerial

578
00:22:38,870 --> 00:22:37,260
Vehicles drones or Airborne debris like

579
00:22:40,070 --> 00:22:38,880
plastic bags and these are all things

580
00:22:42,230 --> 00:22:40,080
that have been brought up before as

581
00:22:44,630 --> 00:22:42,240
possible explanations for a wide variety

582
00:22:47,029 --> 00:22:44,640
of uaps

583
00:22:49,370 --> 00:22:47,039
natural atmospheric phenomena this is

584
00:22:50,990 --> 00:22:49,380
one of my favorite little topics uh

585
00:22:53,810 --> 00:22:51,000
natural atmospheric phenomena include

586
00:22:55,610 --> 00:22:53,820
ice crystals moisture and thermal

587
00:22:57,590 --> 00:22:55,620
fluctuations that may register on some

588
00:22:59,090 --> 00:22:57,600
infrared or radar systems now the first

589
00:23:01,370 --> 00:22:59,100
one ice crystals is interesting because

590
00:23:04,789 --> 00:23:01,380
I think people mistake it as there being

591
00:23:05,930 --> 00:23:04,799
a giant chunk of ice in the sky uh I

592
00:23:08,510 --> 00:23:05,940
think this is something that the Nimitz

593
00:23:11,750 --> 00:23:08,520
encounter like like had this problem

594
00:23:14,029 --> 00:23:11,760
people think that ice crystals means big

595
00:23:15,770 --> 00:23:14,039
crystals of ice like a big slab of ice

596
00:23:17,330 --> 00:23:15,780
that you get from the from the

597
00:23:18,830 --> 00:23:17,340
supermarket but no ice crystals just

598
00:23:20,330 --> 00:23:18,840
means things like cirrus cloud high

599
00:23:22,610 --> 00:23:20,340
altitude clouds

600
00:23:25,370 --> 00:23:22,620
that are made of ice crystals

601
00:23:27,590 --> 00:23:25,380
essentially yeah very fine ice dust and

602
00:23:29,409 --> 00:23:27,600
you get Reflections off that in the same

603
00:23:32,810 --> 00:23:29,419
way that you get um

604
00:23:33,970 --> 00:23:32,820
atmospheric Halos and Sun dogs and

605
00:23:36,710 --> 00:23:33,980
things like that from the light

606
00:23:38,930 --> 00:23:36,720
refracting from them you will can also

607
00:23:40,970 --> 00:23:38,940
get the them bending light and

608
00:23:42,350 --> 00:23:40,980
reflecting light like up down down to

609
00:23:45,230 --> 00:23:42,360
the ground and you know the radar will

610
00:23:46,549 --> 00:23:45,240
give you a a false return uh and it's

611
00:23:49,190 --> 00:23:46,559
possible you might even get something

612
00:23:52,789 --> 00:23:49,200
and on the IR uh from that if you've got

613
00:23:54,890 --> 00:23:52,799
a cloud ahead of you because clouds are

614
00:23:56,630 --> 00:23:54,900
warmer than the background radiation of

615
00:23:59,750 --> 00:23:56,640
the sky they can actually appear as hot

616
00:24:02,350 --> 00:23:59,760
objects uh if you if you have no no

617
00:24:05,570 --> 00:24:02,360
context other than the sky

618
00:24:07,549 --> 00:24:05,580
uh see ice crystals moisture and thermal

619
00:24:10,909 --> 00:24:07,559
fluctuations that may register on some

620
00:24:12,590 --> 00:24:10,919
infrared and radar systems yeah uh

621
00:24:13,930 --> 00:24:12,600
thermal fluctuations I mean I guess

622
00:24:17,029 --> 00:24:13,940
that's a

623
00:24:18,950 --> 00:24:17,039
temperature inversion and what happens

624
00:24:21,169 --> 00:24:18,960
there is that the air normally gets

625
00:24:22,490 --> 00:24:21,179
colder as you get higher up but if it if

626
00:24:25,850 --> 00:24:22,500
there's part of it we get a layer of

627
00:24:29,510 --> 00:24:25,860
warm air on top of cold air you can get

628
00:24:31,370 --> 00:24:29,520
uh the the light or the radiation will

629
00:24:32,870 --> 00:24:31,380
bend down towards the colder air which

630
00:24:35,029 --> 00:24:32,880
because it's even more dense than normal

631
00:24:36,470 --> 00:24:35,039
and so you'll get more you almost get

632
00:24:38,630 --> 00:24:36,480
these Reflections off this this this

633
00:24:40,669 --> 00:24:38,640
temperature inversion or you can get a

634
00:24:44,330 --> 00:24:40,679
thing called ducting where the where the

635
00:24:46,250 --> 00:24:44,340
light or the the radar will bounce along

636
00:24:47,570 --> 00:24:46,260
this kind of atmospheric duct and can go

637
00:24:48,890 --> 00:24:47,580
a long way and give you all these weird

638
00:24:50,630 --> 00:24:48,900
returns

639
00:24:54,350 --> 00:24:50,640
and of course clouds can give you

640
00:24:58,850 --> 00:24:57,169
okay USG U.S government or industry

641
00:25:01,490 --> 00:24:58,860
development programs some UAP

642
00:25:03,230 --> 00:25:01,500
observations could be attributable to

643
00:25:06,169 --> 00:25:03,240
development and classified programs by

644
00:25:08,269 --> 00:25:06,179
U.S entities we were unable to confirm

645
00:25:11,570 --> 00:25:08,279
however that these systems accounted for

646
00:25:14,750 --> 00:25:11,580
any of the UAP reports we collected

647
00:25:17,450 --> 00:25:14,760
which is kind of interesting uh why

648
00:25:19,430 --> 00:25:17,460
would they be unable to confirm but they

649
00:25:21,350 --> 00:25:19,440
still suspect it might be the case

650
00:25:23,570 --> 00:25:21,360
they've not ruled it out

651
00:25:25,730 --> 00:25:23,580
so would they just unable

652
00:25:26,690 --> 00:25:25,740
to get into all the secret programs that

653
00:25:28,370 --> 00:25:26,700
were there because they didn't have

654
00:25:30,649 --> 00:25:28,380
sufficient classification or did people

655
00:25:32,090 --> 00:25:30,659
just not want to cooperate with um it's

656
00:25:33,409 --> 00:25:32,100
not really clear that they but they

657
00:25:34,970 --> 00:25:33,419
specifically say they were unable to

658
00:25:36,830 --> 00:25:34,980
confirm it

659
00:25:38,930 --> 00:25:36,840
which contrasts with the next uh

660
00:25:41,090 --> 00:25:38,940
possibility foreign adversary systems

661
00:25:42,769 --> 00:25:41,100
some UAP maybe Technologies deployed by

662
00:25:44,810 --> 00:25:42,779
China Russia another Nation or a

663
00:25:46,730 --> 00:25:44,820
non-governmental entity like I guess

664
00:25:48,830 --> 00:25:46,740
terrorists something like that

665
00:25:50,930 --> 00:25:48,840
uh but they don't say they were unable

666
00:25:52,669 --> 00:25:50,940
to confirm or rule out that either so

667
00:25:54,590 --> 00:25:52,679
they just believe that hangings as

668
00:25:58,370 --> 00:25:54,600
possibility

669
00:26:00,890 --> 00:25:58,380
and finally we have the other category

670
00:26:02,330 --> 00:26:00,900
although most of the UAP described in

671
00:26:05,450 --> 00:26:02,340
our data set probably remain

672
00:26:07,490 --> 00:26:05,460
unidentified due to limited data or

673
00:26:08,930 --> 00:26:07,500
challenges of collection processing or

674
00:26:10,850 --> 00:26:08,940
analysis

675
00:26:12,830 --> 00:26:10,860
we may require additional scientific

676
00:26:15,590 --> 00:26:12,840
knowledge to successfully collect on

677
00:26:17,570 --> 00:26:15,600
analyze and characterize some of them

678
00:26:19,669 --> 00:26:17,580
we could group Subs objects in this

679
00:26:22,190 --> 00:26:19,679
category pending scientific advances

680
00:26:25,010 --> 00:26:22,200
that allow us to better understand them

681
00:26:26,870 --> 00:26:25,020
the uaptf intends to focus additional

682
00:26:29,690 --> 00:26:26,880
analysis on the small number of cases

683
00:26:32,390 --> 00:26:29,700
where a UAP appears to display unusual

684
00:26:34,610 --> 00:26:32,400
flight characteristics or signature

685
00:26:37,010 --> 00:26:34,620
management signature management I think

686
00:26:39,470 --> 00:26:37,020
is just stealth capabilities like low

687
00:26:42,590 --> 00:26:39,480
observability in radar and you get this

688
00:26:43,789 --> 00:26:42,600
jittering effects on on the radar uh

689
00:26:44,870 --> 00:26:43,799
they don't know though if that's an

690
00:26:50,810 --> 00:26:44,880
actual

691
00:26:52,909 --> 00:26:50,820
artifact of the collection system so

692
00:26:54,230 --> 00:26:52,919
they're saying that perhaps science will

693
00:26:57,590 --> 00:26:54,240
advance

694
00:26:59,390 --> 00:26:57,600
so in the future we may in fact perhaps

695
00:27:02,630 --> 00:26:59,400
be able to analyze these these existing

696
00:27:04,370 --> 00:27:02,640
cases or perhaps analyze the same type

697
00:27:07,490 --> 00:27:04,380
of case better in the future like we

698
00:27:08,990 --> 00:27:07,500
will get better radar or we will get uh

699
00:27:11,570 --> 00:27:09,000
you know a better long distance systems

700
00:27:13,430 --> 00:27:11,580
or we will have multiple cameras or

701
00:27:14,750 --> 00:27:13,440
something like that things will improve

702
00:27:16,070 --> 00:27:14,760
in the future they're basically saying

703
00:27:20,210 --> 00:27:16,080
that we might be able to figure these

704
00:27:25,549 --> 00:27:22,549
UAP threatened flight safety and

705
00:27:28,909 --> 00:27:25,559
possibly National Security

706
00:27:31,250 --> 00:27:28,919
was ominous uaps pose a hazard to safety

707
00:27:33,769 --> 00:27:31,260
of flight and could pose a broader

708
00:27:36,230 --> 00:27:33,779
danger if some instances represent

709
00:27:37,669 --> 00:27:36,240
sophisticated collection against U.S

710
00:27:38,990 --> 00:27:37,679
military activities by a foreign

711
00:27:41,990 --> 00:27:39,000
government or demonstrated breakthrough

712
00:27:43,850 --> 00:27:42,000
Aerospace technology by a potential

713
00:27:45,710 --> 00:27:43,860
adversary

714
00:27:47,810 --> 00:27:45,720
uh I think again here we've got to go

715
00:27:49,549 --> 00:27:47,820
back to the executive summary on the the

716
00:27:52,010 --> 00:27:49,559
first page we're on page six now so we

717
00:27:55,370 --> 00:27:52,020
go back to executive summary and

718
00:27:57,950 --> 00:27:55,380
um it says UAP clearly pose a safety or

719
00:27:59,930 --> 00:27:57,960
flight issue and may pose a challenge to

720
00:28:01,909 --> 00:27:59,940
National Security but it says safety

721
00:28:03,110 --> 00:28:01,919
concerns primarily Center on aviators

722
00:28:04,850 --> 00:28:03,120
contending with an increasingly

723
00:28:06,409 --> 00:28:04,860
cluttered air domain

724
00:28:07,789 --> 00:28:06,419
uh this is they put this in the

725
00:28:11,930 --> 00:28:07,799
executive summary but they don't really

726
00:28:14,210 --> 00:28:11,940
see it quite so clearly in in Page Six

727
00:28:15,409 --> 00:28:14,220
let's see when aviators encounter safety

728
00:28:17,570 --> 00:28:15,419
hazards they are required to report

729
00:28:20,990 --> 00:28:17,580
these concerns blah blah blah they may

730
00:28:23,450 --> 00:28:21,000
cease their tests so uh let's say like

731
00:28:24,529 --> 00:28:23,460
saying basically uh if the pilot sees

732
00:28:25,970 --> 00:28:24,539
something they might not want us to

733
00:28:28,070 --> 00:28:25,980
report it because then they would have

734
00:28:30,590 --> 00:28:28,080
to return to base because there's a

735
00:28:33,409 --> 00:28:30,600
possible danger so they just ignore it

736
00:28:35,090 --> 00:28:33,419
uh which hopefully the new guidelines is

737
00:28:36,590 --> 00:28:35,100
kind of encouraging Pilots not to do

738
00:28:38,990 --> 00:28:36,600
that in the future

739
00:28:40,370 --> 00:28:39,000
uh but we also have UAP task force

740
00:28:42,289 --> 00:28:40,380
there's 11 reports of documented

741
00:28:44,930 --> 00:28:42,299
instances in which Pilots reported near

742
00:28:46,310 --> 00:28:44,940
misses with a UAP and remember a lot of

743
00:28:48,590 --> 00:28:46,320
what they talked about near the very

744
00:28:51,110 --> 00:28:48,600
first things are things like um

745
00:28:53,029 --> 00:28:51,120
Birds balloons plastic bags debris in

746
00:28:56,389 --> 00:28:53,039
the air things like that cluttered

747
00:28:58,669 --> 00:28:56,399
airspace drones and uh you know

748
00:29:01,250 --> 00:28:58,679
obviously all those things are are a

749
00:29:03,470 --> 00:29:01,260
problem and uh they may

750
00:29:08,570 --> 00:29:03,480
but may that those might be some of the

751
00:29:10,190 --> 00:29:08,580
11 reports not that many 11 out of 144.

752
00:29:12,169 --> 00:29:10,200
and potential National Security

753
00:29:14,029 --> 00:29:12,179
challenges

754
00:29:15,889 --> 00:29:14,039
I guess this is kind of a big important

755
00:29:17,930 --> 00:29:15,899
thing we currently like data to indicate

756
00:29:20,269 --> 00:29:17,940
any UAP are part of a foreign collection

757
00:29:21,950 --> 00:29:20,279
program this is a spying program or

758
00:29:24,830 --> 00:29:21,960
indicative of a major technological

759
00:29:26,690 --> 00:29:24,840
advancement by a potential adversary we

760
00:29:30,169 --> 00:29:26,700
continue to monitor for evidence of such

761
00:29:31,970 --> 00:29:30,179
programs blah blah blah and particularly

762
00:29:34,669 --> 00:29:31,980
the detected new military facilities

763
00:29:36,649 --> 00:29:34,679
Yeah so basically if they were foreign

764
00:29:38,029 --> 00:29:36,659
adversaries some of these cases a small

765
00:29:39,830 --> 00:29:38,039
number of them even even if it was just

766
00:29:41,750 --> 00:29:39,840
one obviously it's a problem and it

767
00:29:44,090 --> 00:29:41,760
should be should be solved but they

768
00:29:47,990 --> 00:29:44,100
don't have any data we currently lack

769
00:29:49,730 --> 00:29:48,000
any data to indicate any UAP a part of a

770
00:29:51,590 --> 00:29:49,740
foreign collection program or indicative

771
00:29:53,210 --> 00:29:51,600
of a major technological advancement by

772
00:29:54,590 --> 00:29:53,220
a potential adversary

773
00:29:59,810 --> 00:29:54,600
yeah

774
00:30:05,090 --> 00:30:02,149
okay explaining UAP will require

775
00:30:07,970 --> 00:30:05,100
analytical collection and resource

776
00:30:10,430 --> 00:30:07,980
investment this is kind of like the uh

777
00:30:12,110 --> 00:30:10,440
we need more money the UAP task force

778
00:30:13,789 --> 00:30:12,120
needs more money or

779
00:30:16,250 --> 00:30:13,799
if we want to solve this thing we need

780
00:30:18,350 --> 00:30:16,260
to put money into data collection in

781
00:30:20,029 --> 00:30:18,360
general across across the board

782
00:30:21,889 --> 00:30:20,039
so they're saying standardized things

783
00:30:23,750 --> 00:30:21,899
they're talking about employing

784
00:30:26,870 --> 00:30:23,760
artificial intelligence which would be

785
00:30:28,310 --> 00:30:26,880
great they can filter out cases

786
00:30:31,130 --> 00:30:28,320
it'd be really good if you could

787
00:30:34,190 --> 00:30:31,140
actually use AI to uh

788
00:30:36,289 --> 00:30:34,200
to take in a very large number of data

789
00:30:37,970 --> 00:30:36,299
sets I mean the problem with UFO

790
00:30:39,470 --> 00:30:37,980
Reporting historically has been that we

791
00:30:41,510 --> 00:30:39,480
get so much noise

792
00:30:42,710 --> 00:30:41,520
we especially when there's a UFO flap

793
00:30:46,070 --> 00:30:42,720
light there is right now you get

794
00:30:47,389 --> 00:30:46,080
thousands of people reporting UFOs and

795
00:30:49,850 --> 00:30:47,399
uh you know the vast majority of them

796
00:30:52,789 --> 00:30:49,860
obviously if not if not all of them are

797
00:30:54,350 --> 00:30:52,799
are fairly ordinary objects yet we want

798
00:30:55,789 --> 00:30:54,360
to find the things that actually are

799
00:30:57,649 --> 00:30:55,799
extraordinary if there's a foreign

800
00:30:58,970 --> 00:30:57,659
adversary trying to sneak drones in we

801
00:31:00,830 --> 00:30:58,980
want to be able to detect that

802
00:31:02,750 --> 00:31:00,840
particular thing and we need to filter

803
00:31:05,630 --> 00:31:02,760
out all the noise to do that and this is

804
00:31:07,669 --> 00:31:05,640
one of the the reasons back in the 1950s

805
00:31:10,610 --> 00:31:07,679
the government encouraged the debunking

806
00:31:12,649 --> 00:31:10,620
of UFOs because all the reports that

807
00:31:15,049 --> 00:31:12,659
were coming in were taking up too much

808
00:31:16,970 --> 00:31:15,059
time for the authorities to track down

809
00:31:19,330 --> 00:31:16,980
these these these essentially false

810
00:31:23,210 --> 00:31:19,340
reports of just nonsense noise

811
00:31:25,789 --> 00:31:23,220
but now we have the opportunity to allow

812
00:31:27,529 --> 00:31:25,799
all that noise in we just we just opened

813
00:31:31,009 --> 00:31:27,539
the floodgates and say yes send us all

814
00:31:33,950 --> 00:31:31,019
your UOP reports and then we have ai

815
00:31:36,230 --> 00:31:33,960
look at the reports and the AI will

816
00:31:38,090 --> 00:31:36,240
determine if any of them don't fit the

817
00:31:41,210 --> 00:31:38,100
normal patterns of things like birds and

818
00:31:44,630 --> 00:31:41,220
balloons and plastic bags and drones and

819
00:31:47,389 --> 00:31:44,640
those will get bumped up to more

820
00:31:49,669 --> 00:31:47,399
consideration to human and human

821
00:31:51,649 --> 00:31:49,679
analysis so that's a good idea

822
00:31:53,810 --> 00:31:51,659
and they developed interagency

823
00:31:55,850 --> 00:31:53,820
analytical and processing workflows to

824
00:32:00,230 --> 00:31:55,860
ensure collection analysis will be well

825
00:32:04,570 --> 00:32:02,990
okay if it's to stand the day is

826
00:32:07,009 --> 00:32:04,580
reporting jolly good

827
00:32:09,289 --> 00:32:07,019
and working to acquire additional

828
00:32:10,730 --> 00:32:09,299
reporting including from the U.S Air

829
00:32:12,289 --> 00:32:10,740
Force because most of it's come from the

830
00:32:14,389 --> 00:32:12,299
Navy it seems to be some kind of

831
00:32:16,970 --> 00:32:14,399
cultural difference between the the Navy

832
00:32:20,269 --> 00:32:16,980
and the Air Force perhaps there's more

833
00:32:22,850 --> 00:32:20,279
reports over the ocean uh for I don't

834
00:32:24,710 --> 00:32:22,860
know for a variety of reasons perhaps uh

835
00:32:26,630 --> 00:32:24,720
it's just easier to spot them against

836
00:32:29,330 --> 00:32:26,640
the ocean perhaps I don't know or

837
00:32:31,549 --> 00:32:29,340
perhaps the the Air Force

838
00:32:33,230 --> 00:32:31,559
doesn't like to report these things

839
00:32:36,889 --> 00:32:33,240
but anyway they're we're trying to

840
00:32:38,690 --> 00:32:36,899
improve that and then the FAA FAA of

841
00:32:40,370 --> 00:32:38,700
course has radar

842
00:32:44,110 --> 00:32:40,380
I'm running all the time covering the

843
00:32:46,669 --> 00:32:44,120
entire country and if there was uh UFOs

844
00:32:48,710 --> 00:32:46,679
uaps showing up on that radar it would

845
00:32:51,590 --> 00:32:48,720
be in the data so it would be good for

846
00:32:53,210 --> 00:32:51,600
get the data from them and and analyze

847
00:32:54,710 --> 00:32:53,220
it using AI would be great you could

848
00:32:57,669 --> 00:32:54,720
historically look at historically all

849
00:33:02,330 --> 00:32:57,679
the historical data and use some AI to

850
00:33:06,590 --> 00:33:05,149
alright so let's see the uip task force

851
00:33:09,909 --> 00:33:06,600
is looking for novel ways to increase

852
00:33:12,889 --> 00:33:09,919
collection of UAP cluster areas

853
00:33:15,529 --> 00:33:12,899
where U.S forces are not present as a

854
00:33:17,930 --> 00:33:15,539
way to Baseline standard UAP activity

855
00:33:21,830 --> 00:33:17,940
and mitigate the collection bias in the

856
00:33:24,889 --> 00:33:21,840
data set so that's saying basically we

857
00:33:27,830 --> 00:33:24,899
will study uaps extensively in an area

858
00:33:30,049 --> 00:33:27,840
that's not of security concern

859
00:33:31,970 --> 00:33:30,059
so we'll go out into like I don't know

860
00:33:34,070 --> 00:33:31,980
some town in Kansas that does not have a

861
00:33:38,450 --> 00:33:34,080
military base near it and we'll set up

862
00:33:41,389 --> 00:33:38,460
uh cameras to study uaps in the sky and

863
00:33:42,590 --> 00:33:41,399
we'll use that to compare against the

864
00:33:45,649 --> 00:33:42,600
results of all the cameras and The

865
00:33:48,529 --> 00:33:45,659
Radars from an actual military base so

866
00:33:51,110 --> 00:33:48,539
we'll get this Baseline reading of um of

867
00:33:53,509 --> 00:33:51,120
UAP activity from all the false

868
00:33:55,490 --> 00:33:53,519
positives things like birds and uh

869
00:33:57,889 --> 00:33:55,500
drones and whatnot and then we'll be

870
00:33:59,269 --> 00:33:57,899
able to kind of subtract that from the

871
00:34:00,889 --> 00:33:59,279
data that we get from an actual military

872
00:34:03,049 --> 00:34:00,899
site and then we'll be able to see if

873
00:34:05,810 --> 00:34:03,059
there are things that stand out which

874
00:34:09,109 --> 00:34:05,820
are actual security threats good idea

875
00:34:11,149 --> 00:34:09,119
good idea UAP task force

876
00:34:12,710 --> 00:34:11,159
and one proposal is to use Advanced

877
00:34:14,270 --> 00:34:12,720
algorithms to search historical data

878
00:34:16,270 --> 00:34:14,280
captured and sort by radar that's what I

879
00:34:19,010 --> 00:34:16,280
just said

880
00:34:21,290 --> 00:34:19,020
okay increased investment in research

881
00:34:22,790 --> 00:34:21,300
and development the UAP task force has

882
00:34:24,349 --> 00:34:22,800
indicated that additional funding for

883
00:34:26,210 --> 00:34:24,359
research and development could further

884
00:34:27,589 --> 00:34:26,220
the future study of the topics laid out

885
00:34:29,450 --> 00:34:27,599
in this report

886
00:34:31,849 --> 00:34:29,460
such Investments should be guided by a

887
00:34:34,129 --> 00:34:31,859
UAP collection strategy UAP r d

888
00:34:36,050 --> 00:34:34,139
technical roadmap and a UAP program plan

889
00:34:39,290 --> 00:34:36,060
hmm I wonder if those things are coming

890
00:34:40,669 --> 00:34:39,300
this is a preliminary report and I think

891
00:34:42,770 --> 00:34:40,679
that's pretty much the last page of it

892
00:34:44,089 --> 00:34:42,780
there's a couple of appendices but you

893
00:34:46,270 --> 00:34:44,099
know that's that's it this is uh

894
00:34:51,950 --> 00:34:46,280
essentially a seven page report

895
00:34:54,349 --> 00:34:51,960
and uh it's it's interesting because I I

896
00:34:56,569 --> 00:34:54,359
wasn't expecting it to be exactly like

897
00:34:58,370 --> 00:34:56,579
this I was expecting more of a list of

898
00:35:00,349 --> 00:34:58,380
actual cases

899
00:35:02,750 --> 00:35:00,359
I'm quite happy with it though I think

900
00:35:04,609 --> 00:35:02,760
it gives a good overview of the

901
00:35:07,010 --> 00:35:04,619
situation that we have I think it gives

902
00:35:09,770 --> 00:35:07,020
a good overview of the fact that we have

903
00:35:12,770 --> 00:35:09,780
very limited information we don't have

904
00:35:14,810 --> 00:35:12,780
very good data sets and data points that

905
00:35:16,670 --> 00:35:14,820
indicate uh some kind of advanced

906
00:35:19,550 --> 00:35:16,680
technology some kind of leapfrogging of

907
00:35:21,650 --> 00:35:19,560
Technology we have lots of things where

908
00:35:23,810 --> 00:35:21,660
things are unidentified and we need to

909
00:35:26,030 --> 00:35:23,820
figure out how to identify them we have

910
00:35:28,849 --> 00:35:26,040
these limitations of technology or

911
00:35:31,310 --> 00:35:28,859
perhaps limitations of of personnel you

912
00:35:33,730 --> 00:35:31,320
know they talk about particular things

913
00:35:37,370 --> 00:35:33,740
that let's see we go back to

914
00:35:39,950 --> 00:35:37,380
uh this executive summary summary uh

915
00:35:42,290 --> 00:35:39,960
where uaps do report unusual flight

916
00:35:44,930 --> 00:35:42,300
characteristics the observations could

917
00:35:47,630 --> 00:35:44,940
be the result of sensor errors spoofing

918
00:35:49,609 --> 00:35:47,640
Observer misperceptions and these

919
00:35:51,290 --> 00:35:49,619
require additional rigorous analysis now

920
00:35:54,950 --> 00:35:51,300
of course spoofing is a security threat

921
00:35:57,050 --> 00:35:54,960
uh sensor errors is a security threat

922
00:35:59,510 --> 00:35:57,060
too but it's not like a

923
00:36:00,950 --> 00:35:59,520
an aggressive security threat from

924
00:36:04,069 --> 00:36:00,960
outside it's just something that we need

925
00:36:06,470 --> 00:36:04,079
to improve our senses spoofing if there

926
00:36:07,849 --> 00:36:06,480
that means that a foreign adversary is

927
00:36:09,050 --> 00:36:07,859
faking these these results that's

928
00:36:11,390 --> 00:36:09,060
something that's essentially an attack

929
00:36:13,250 --> 00:36:11,400
and something that needs to be handled

930
00:36:16,130 --> 00:36:13,260
very seriously

931
00:36:18,589 --> 00:36:16,140
uh observing misperceptions also is an

932
00:36:20,690 --> 00:36:18,599
issue if The Observers the pilots are

933
00:36:24,109 --> 00:36:20,700
getting things wrong then we need to

934
00:36:27,349 --> 00:36:24,119
figure out why that happened and improve

935
00:36:31,329 --> 00:36:27,359
practices and trainings and Reporting

936
00:36:34,250 --> 00:36:31,339
analysis to incorporate that information

937
00:36:37,450 --> 00:36:34,260
so there's there's lots of real issues

938
00:36:40,370 --> 00:36:37,460
that have been identified in this report

939
00:36:42,530 --> 00:36:40,380
that need to be addressed if something's

940
00:36:44,510 --> 00:36:42,540
unidentified let's figure out how to

941
00:36:47,270 --> 00:36:44,520
identify it but we don't have evidence

942
00:36:50,150 --> 00:36:47,280
of advanced technology we have things

943
00:36:51,290 --> 00:36:50,160
that possibly indicate it but more study

944
00:36:53,990 --> 00:36:51,300
is needed

945
00:36:56,510 --> 00:36:54,000
and they never mentioned aliens

946
00:36:59,510 --> 00:36:56,520
so it's not even really a consideration

947
00:37:01,490 --> 00:36:59,520
there they were tentatively saying maybe

948
00:37:03,050 --> 00:37:01,500
a foreign adversary might have leap frog

949
00:37:04,550 --> 00:37:03,060
does but there's only a few little cases

950
00:37:06,470 --> 00:37:04,560
and we didn't really have multiple

951
00:37:09,530 --> 00:37:06,480
sensor data there except maybe in one of

952
00:37:13,430 --> 00:37:09,540
two cases with this this radio frequency

953
00:37:17,150 --> 00:37:13,440
stuff that we measured but uh not a lot